Indian intelligence agency – RAW, in its recent report has once again
forecasted massive defeat of the ruling
Bangladesh Awami League, during the
2014 general election in the country. It said, although Bangladesh Awami
League, under the leadership of Sheikh Hasina has been exhibiting sincerity in
strengthening relations with India,
its popularity at home has been miserably dropping down due to series of
high-profile corruptions, financial scams, campus violence, deteriorating law
and order situation, suffocation of media and freedom of expression. It said,
the ruling party, which even in the recent past enjoyed reasonably good
relations with the Islamic political parties and fronts despite its secularist
policy, some of the recent actions of Bangladesh Awami League has not only
created huge gap between them and the Islamic leaders, but also giving wrong
impression amongst the people, interpreting the ruling party as
"anti-Islam". On the other hand, continuous repression on religious
minorities, including Hindus and very recent incident at the Buddhist temples
at Chittagong Hill Tract areas, the religious minorities are no more feeling
comfortable under the rule of Bangladesh Awami League. The vandalism on the
Buddhist temples and population in the eastern part of Bangladesh has
already tarnished the image of the ruling party at home and abroad.
The report said, the decline in popularity of the ruling Bangladesh Awami
League is even beyond speculations, while Bangladeshi masses are openly
expressing anger at the poor governance of the ruling party. Taking advantage
of such situation, main opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party has suddenly
boosted its diplomatic efforts within and outside the country, which is clearly
aimed at winning a diplomatic battle with the ruling party. While Bangladesh
Nationalist Party is intensifying its diplomatic efforts, including visit of
former Prime Minister Begum Khaleda Zia to China
and her upcoming visit to India,
the ruling party as well as its foreign minister is rather sitting reluctantly,
as if they are prepared to accept the diplomatic defeat. Dhaka's relations with
Washington is already freezing down, which became clear when the Prime
Minister's office ignored repeated requests from the US ambassador in
Bangladesh, Dan W Mozena, who had been seeking appointment to meet the
Bangladeshi Prime Minister. Top brasses in the foreign ministry had reportedly
suggested its staffs to refrain from showing "extra importance" to
any of the members of the Western missions in Dhaka.
Indian intelligentsia and political pundits had been expressing concern over
potential security threats to Indian soil, if Bangladesh Awami League gets
defeated in the next general election, as Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina has been
taking numerous measures in uprooting anti-Indian activities within Bangladesh
as well as activities of the separatist groups in India, who had been earlier
using Bangladeshi soil as safe haven. During Sheikh Hasina's current tenure, a
large number of members of the United Liberation Front of Assam [ULFA],
including its bigwig Aravind Rajkhowa, had been handed over to the Indian
authorities, while the Bangladeshi government is set in handing over ULFA
leader Anup Chetia and two of his accomplices to India in next few weeks. It may be
mentioned here that, Anup Chetia along with his accomplice Babul Sharma and
Laxmi Prasad had been serving in Bangladeshi prison since 1993. Anup Chetia and
two others were arrested from Dhaka by the
local intelligence agency in 1993, when Bangladesh Nationalist Party [BNP] was
in power. Although Anup Chetia was arrested during BNP's rule, it is rumored
that the party had been extending support towards ULFA and other Indian
separatist groups while there is also allegation of providing logistic supports
by the BNP led government to these anti-Indian elements. Currently, trial into
the case of recovery of a huge arms haul is continuing in Bangladeshi court,
where leaders of Bangladesh Nationalist Party and Bangladesh
Jamaat-e-Islami are accused of having hands behind this arms trafficking, which
reached Bangladeshi soil en-route to separatist groups in the North-Eastern
provinces in India.
Few of the top figures of country's intelligence and law enforcement agencies
are also accused in this huge arms haul.
Earlier on December 17, 1995, western nationals were arrested when arms were
being dropped from Latvian Antonov AN-26 aircraft at Indian district of Purulia
in the state of West Bengal. The chief accused
"Kim Davy" [real name Niels Holck, alias Niels Christian Nielsen]
claims that it was a conspiracy of the Indian government together with RAW and
MI5 to overthrow the communist government in West Bengal and he was given
assurances from the central government about his safety and return to Denmark.
He further alleges that MP Pappu Yadav, who is in touch with the Prime Minister
of India, facilitated his safe exit from India. The crew of the aircraft
consisted of five Latvian citizens and Peter Bleach, a British citizen and an
ex Special Air Service operative turned mercenary who was based in Yorkshire
and involved in arms dealing. However, Annie Machon, the former MI5 officer,
accuses Bleach of being an MI6 agent in her book "Spies, Lies and
Whistleblowers". In numerous interviews, Bleach has always evaded
questions on this subject and has declined to answer questions on his military
background. They were arrested and sentenced to life imprisonment while alleged
kingpin Niels Christian Nielsen [aka Kim Peter Davy], a Danish citizen and
member of the Ananda Marga group, escaped. Later, an Interpol red notice was
issued against him. Following the intervention of Russian authorities, the
Latvian crew [who gained Russian citizenship while in Indian custody] were
later pardoned and released in 2000. An appeal has been submitted by the pilot
lawyer before the Calcutta High Court in March 2000 challenging the trial
results and the judgment but it is still pending. Peter Bleach, too, was
released on 4 February 2004, via a presidential pardon, allegedly due to
persistent British Government pressure. In 2007 Kim Davy was traced by Denmark authorities and on April 9, 2010 Danish
government decided to extradite Kim Davy to India but Danish authorities failed
to successfully defend their decision in the Danish high court. The court,
therefore, refused extradition of Kim Davy to India. Further, Danish authorities
decided not to appeal the high court judgment to the Supreme Court.
The government in Bangladesh
led by Sheikh Hasina also nabbed a number of anti-India terror outfit,
including Lashkar-e-Toiba, Sipah Sahaba, Joish-e-Mohammed etc, which had been
reportedly operating from within Bangladesh. Some of these terror
outfits reportedly had direct links with Al Qaeda. When Bangladesh Nationalist
Party led government was in power, a team of Al Qaeda clandestinely visited Bangladesh and
held secret meeting with the local counterparts inside a warehouse in Ashuganj
area, which is 25-30 kilometers from Indian district of Agartala. The
international terror outfit Al Qaeda reportedly established connections with a
number of Bangladeshi Islamist and jihadist groups. But, since Sheikh Hasina's
government came in power, jihadist operatives within Bangladesh have been significantly
eliminated with the help of Indian intelligence. The Indian intelligence
strongly believes that, during the rule of Bangladesh Awami League, threats to India's
domestic security from the cross-border terrorists is greatly checked. For this
particular reason, Indian intelligentsia is recommending New Delhi's direct
hands in ensuring Bangladesh Awami League in continuing in the office, at least
for another term, while it categorically predicts a huge political doom to the
ruling party, if the election is participated by Bangladesh Nationalist Party,
which may bag brute majority in the election, mostly because of anger of the
voters over gross misrule of the grand alliance government led by Bangladesh
Awami League.
While the possible outcome of the electoral result of 2014
polls in Bangladesh is
clearly going to be unfavorable to the ruling grand alliance government,
Pakistani Inter Service Intelligence [ISI] has recently intensified its
activities inside Bangladesh
with the ulterior motive of putting the ruling grand alliance government into
further political complicities. According to sources, ISI operatives have suddenly
become over-active in Bangladesh, while some of its jihadist contacts are
regularly holding secret meetings possibly to finalize blueprint of
anti-government sabotages in the country. Some of the ISI operatives are
regularly holding meetings at Dhaka's Banani
and Dhanmondi areas, while an ISI agent with extensive connection with local
Jihadist groups and fanatic clergies, is giving anti-government provocations
with the instigation of unseating the current government much ahead of the next
general election. The same ISI agent is also reportedly holding secret meetings
with some of the retired offic